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Message: <blockquote data-quote="A Man Called Charolais" data-source="post: 100300">So, the elections are finished for the time being.  The locals and the EP elections are two very different types, with local elections being much more about personal affinity and 'lived space' than the Euros.  It might be useful to place ballot boxes, while being stored prior to the count, in a locked warehouse and put a webcam on them.  That might diffuse any concerns, especially in an environment troubled by them.  It would be a reasonable step.The key strategic issue for these elections in Ireland is neutrality.  All the "she stole my comb" politics is either asinine or fatalistic.  This D-Day commemoration - a key date in the liberation of Europe from technocratic totalitarianism - very much had the theme of a parallel with the situation in Ukraine, with Zelenskyy playing the role of Churchill.  That all speaks of a vector towards general warfare where global borders seize up into frozen conflicts or theater warfare.  So, a decisive shift towards a state of war (rather than a state of peace) in political affairs, which will entrench the current arrangement of personages and patronage systems.  This has been in the cards for a couple of decades now and seems to have really been behind the Neocon putsch in the States.  While the common good may be profoundly injured - with a contraction of domestic economic output and personal dignity, the interests of "the party" will be secured with more coercive methods of control becoming increasingly available.What can we do about it?  Probably very little except to maintain the sort of foreign policy that was adopted prior to and during the Emergency when DeValera was on it.  Neutrality has to remain a very respectable position, rather than being one predominately instrumentalised by radicals to nurture wedges.  It has to be a sturdy point of consensus that is recognised by everyone as a vital interest.  I think we're there or thereabouts on it currently but it does need to remain on everyone's mind.  The recognition of Palestine was not unreasonable, if the purpose was to promote an orderly resolution to the conflict there.  The triumvirate of Ukraine, the Levant and Taiwan will pitch the world into open confrontation, and we are only waiting for something to happen in the Far East for these to coalesce.I've speculated that the disintegration of a structured immigration policy, as well as acting as a solvent to confuse and weaken domestic opposition, will ultimately cultivate a very harsh regimen as the regions affected shift into a state of war.  These migrants may find themselves in a very uncomfortable position, especially with blatant and naive liberty-taking evident, when general mobilisation becomes the official policy and militaristic jingoism the plat du jour.  The present permissive jingoism of the sedated courtiers of curated opinion will not survive a general alert.There is an inflection point also coming up in the run up to the American Presidential election.  It might all unwind without serious upset, but it could go tits up very quickly.  We should be careful in our contingency planning and carry on like everything is going to be fine for the time being but remain wary and prudent in the face of any new excitements.  Triviality is not a quality that secures an independent life and is a severe handicap in serious times.</blockquote>

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