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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Esatdigiwank" data-source="post: 127824" data-attributes="member: 210"><p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td>Had to edit some of this so it would fit. Ukraine set to be America’s economic slave.<br /> From the Daily Telegraph:<br /> <p style="text-align: center"></p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><p style="text-align: left"></p> <h2>Trump’s confidential plan to put Ukraine in a stranglehold</h2> </td></tr><tr><td><p style="text-align: left"></p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><p style="text-align: left"><a href="http://t3.emails.telegraph.co.uk/r/?id=h331120f6-8ff6-4851-a98b-f58174d0a786,fdf339,bba05a&e=V1QubWNfaWQ9ZV9ETTUxNzM4NSZXVC50c3JjPWVtYWlsJmV0eXBlPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3JnV0bXNvdXJjZT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3MjAyNTAyMTgmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPURNNTE3Mzg1&s=HM3gaTBp1lBY77iIJIuTce2wHcJUORvHnM_1TQEaYRg" target="_blank"><img src="https://ecp.yusercontent.com/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.telegraph.co.uk%2Fcontent%2Fdam%2FAuthor%2520photos%2FAmbrose%2520Evans%2520Pritchard_x-xlarge.png&t=1739886073&ymreqid=32ea3180-f881-9f7d-1c63-48000201e600&sig=ujQrAeG_MPIe4j_V23UFqQ--~D" alt="Ambrose Evans-Pritchard" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></a></p> </td><td>By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard<br /> World Economy Editor</td></tr></table></td></tr><tr><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> </td></tr><tr><td><a href="http://t3.emails.telegraph.co.uk/r/?id=h331120f6-8ff6-4851-a98b-f58174d0a786,fdf339,bba05d&e=V1QubWNfaWQ9ZV9ETTUxNzM4NSZXVC50c3JjPWVtYWlsJmV0eXBlPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3JnV0bXNvdXJjZT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3MjAyNTAyMTgmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPURNNTE3Mzg1&s=szXP7tzllt_azU_Z0NXfLr-GXk-bkIxORvd1VSzAPNc" target="_blank">Donald Trump’s demand for a $500bn (£400bn) “payback” from Ukraine</a> goes far beyond US control over the country’s critical minerals. It covers everything from ports and infrastructure to oil and gas, and the larger resource base of the country.<br /> <br /> The terms of the contract that landed at Volodymyr Zelensky’s office a week ago amount to the US economic colonisation of Ukraine, in legal perpetuity. It implies a burden of reparations that cannot possibly be achieved. The document has caused consternation and panic in Kyiv.<br /> <br /> The Telegraph has obtained a draft of the pre-decisional contract, marked “Privileged & Confidential’ and dated Feb 7 2025. It states that the US and Ukraine should form a joint investment fund to ensure that “hostile parties to the conflict do not benefit from the reconstruction of Ukraine”.<br /> <br /> The agreement covers the “economic value associated with resources of Ukraine”, including “mineral resources, oil and gas resources, ports, other infrastructure (as agreed)”, leaving it unclear what else might be encompassed. “This agreement shall be governed by New York law, without regard to conflict of laws principles,” it states.<br /> <br /> The US <a href="http://t3.emails.telegraph.co.uk/r/?id=h331120f6-8ff6-4851-a98b-f58174d0a786,fdf339,bba05e&e=V1QubWNfaWQ9ZV9ETTUxNzM4NSZXVC50c3JjPWVtYWlsJmV0eXBlPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3JnV0bXNvdXJjZT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3MjAyNTAyMTgmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPURNNTE3Mzg1&s=1atxqjqw-0N4QU6W-IYaUHDOAumAC5OFKEBQ5of3fA0" target="_blank">will take 50pc of recurring revenues received by Ukraine</a> from extraction of resources, and 50pc of the financial value of “all new licences issued to third parties” for the future monetisation of resources. There will be “a lien on such revenues” in favour of the US. “That clause means ‘pay us first, and then feed your children’,” said one source close to the negotiations.</td></tr></table></td><td></td></tr></table> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><p style="text-align: left"></p> </td></tr><tr><td><p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://t3.emails.telegraph.co.uk/r/?id=h331120f6-8ff6-4851-a98b-f58174d0a786,fdf339,bba060&e=V1QubWNfaWQ9ZV9ETTUxNzM4NSZXVC50c3JjPWVtYWlsJmV0eXBlPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3JnV0bXNvdXJjZT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fbWVkaXVtPUVkaV9FSW5fTmV3MjAyNTAyMTgmdXRtX2NhbXBhaWduPURNNTE3Mzg1&s=v-HqTkn9C67aWl7LXXMs3cG5ldrdOEI1ounQ2Du6BFk" target="_blank"><img src="https://ecp.yusercontent.com/mail?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.telegraph.co.uk%2Fcontent%2Fdam%2Fnewsletters%2FEconomicIntelligence%2Fcharts%2F1802%2520Ukraine%2520minerals.jpg&t=1739886073&ymreqid=32ea3180-f881-9f7d-1c63-48000201e600&sig=VmgeG.GqiexGNpOaex56TQ--~D" alt="Minerals map" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></a></p> </td></tr><tr><td>It states that “for all future licences, the US will have a right of first refusal for the purchase of exportable minerals”.<br /> <br /> Washington will have sovereign immunity and acquire near total control over most of Ukraine’s commodity and resource economy. The fund “shall have the exclusive right to establish the method, selection criteria, terms, and conditions” of all future licences and projects. And so forth, in this vein. It seems to have been written by private lawyers, not the US departments of state or commerce.<br /> <br /> President Zelensky himself proposed the idea of giving the US a direct stake in Ukraine’s rare earth elements and critical minerals on a visit to Trump Tower in September, hoping to smooth the way for continued arms deliveries.<br /> <br /> He calculated that it would lead to US companies setting operations on the ground, creating a political tripwire that would deter Vladimir Putin from attacking again.<br /> <br /> Some mineral basins are near the front line in eastern Ukraine, or in Russian-occupied areas. He has played up the dangers of letting strategic reserves of titanium, tungsten, uranium, graphite and rare earths fall into Russian hands. “If we are talking about a deal, then let’s do a deal, we are only for it,” he said.</td></tr></table></td><td></td></tr></table> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> </td></tr></table> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td>Ukraine probably has the largest lithium basin in Europe. But lithium prices have crashed by 88pc since the bubble burst in 2022. Large reserves are being discovered all over the world. The McDermitt Caldera in Nevada is thought to be the biggest lithium deposit on the planet with 40m metric tonnes, alone enough to catapult the US ahead of China.<br /> <br /> The Thacker Pass project will be operational by next year. The value of lithium is in the processing and the downstream industries. Unprocessed rock deposits sitting in Ukraine are all but useless to the US.<br /> <br /> It is a similar story for rare earths. They are not rare. Mining companies in the US abandoned the business in the 1990s because profit margins were then too low.<br /> <br /> The US government was asleep at the wheel and let this happen, waking up to discover that China has acquired a strategic stranglehold over supplies of critical elements needed for hi-tech and advanced weapons. That problem is being resolved.<br /> <br /> Ukraine has cobalt but most EV batteries now use lithium ferrous phosphate and no longer need cobalt. Furthermore, sodium-ion and sulphur-based batteries will limit the future demand growth for lithium. So will recycling. One could go on. The mineral scarcity story is wildly exaggerated.<br /> <br /> As for Ukraine’s shale gas, a) some of the Yuzivska field lies under Putin control, and b) the western Carpathian reserves are in complex geology with high drilling costs, causing Chevron to pull out, just as it did in Poland. Ukraine has more potential as an exporter of electricity to Europe from renewables and nuclear expansion, but that is not what is on Donald Trump’s mind.</td></tr></table></td><td></td></tr></table> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td></tr></table></td><td></td></tr></table> <table style='width: 100%'><tr><td></td></tr></table></blockquote><p></p>

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