Iran Launches Attack Against Israel

[Kangal]

There probably isn't much bigger within the conventional military capability of Iran, thats why if they have to do it again, and they have already said any new thing would be bigger again, then it must be nuclear.

Anyway what do you think, will Israel retaliate to this attack?

Dunno. Having almost all ballistic and cruise missiles knocked down is humiliation enough. Its insanlying expensive for a country like Iran, and didn't work.

Hamas is dying. The Irainans can't move the dial.

The only physical thing they can do is try block the Straits

 

[Declan]

A good summation from Alex Christoforou:

Iran side:
Iran is celebrating a successful retaliation. They responded to the attack on their Embassy in Syria.
They showcased their military capabilities. They showcased powerful hypersonic missiles. Iran shows it is a force in the region.
Iran saves face.

Israel side:
CNN: "No reports of injuries directly through Iranian strikes" and "Israel's military says 99% of weapons fired by Iran intercepted" and finally "The US assessment is that Iran’s attacks had been largely unsuccessful."
Israel's Air Defense is strong. US Air Defense is strong (MIC sales $$$).
Israel saves face.

US/Biden WH:
Neocons want Iran war. Biden is a neocon, but a neocon trying to get re-elected. Any other time in his Presidency and Biden would be all in...BUT Jake Sullivan who runs Biden's foreign policy is a campaign guy at heart, and he knows war with Iran would sink Biden's re-election. They opted for a calibrated response/defense, with an off-ramp for all sides.

FT hinted that US and Iran are in back-channel talks facilitated by Oman, "Tehran is unlikely to target Israeli diplomatic facilities in the region, said an official briefed on talks between Iran and Oman, the Gulf state that has often facilitated back-channel diplomacy between Tehran and Washington."

Biden WH official readout: "Tomorrow, I will convene my fellow G7 leaders to coordinate a united diplomatic response to Iran’s brazen attack."
KEY WORD is "diplomatic" not military response.

Conclusion:
There is no need for further escalation. A wider war can EASILY be avoided. Everyone can walk away from this claiming a W.

Problem:
Netanyahu, hardliners and neocons (whispering in Bibi's ears), as well as Biden WH mixed messaging.

Israel appears to be going along with the US narrative (for now), but Netanyhu may want to test Biden and launch a strike on Iran. Biden WH said they will not take part in a conflict with Iran, but Biden WH also said their support for Israel is ironclad. MIXED MESSAGING.

Biden has given Netanyahu many blank checks. Bibi may try his luck and cash in another check. Biden said the US will not join Israel in an attack against Iran, but Bibi may want to test that statement, and the neocons will be pushing him to do just that.

Long post, but I believe this is where we are.
NO NEED FOR WIDER WAR! This is an easy one to walk away from. All Biden and his team of foreign policy wiz kids need to do is make it very clear that this ends NOW, for all parties involved


View: https://twitter.com/AXChristoforou/status/1779415781953982507?t=VVU5qM5Gs9-IkAD9AUyBjw&s=19

He is talking shythe

 

[Declan]

Virtually all of the attack was intercepted. Nothing of significance damaged. The US and Britain admit being in there helping. Biden returned to the White House. The US and USA now desperately trying to contain it. Hoping it will not escalate. Big fears for shipping and economy.

Our man Harris came out against Israel in a speech. The value of western money is turning to sh@t

Rubbish, if there was no damage, there would be no need for retaliation

 

[valamhic]

Says who?

Only 1% got through, The attacks were virtue signalling only, no damage worth talking of.

IMO Russia is the one to watch. The US is trying to keep Russia out of it. A joint Iranian / Russian attack would be a different ball game, but Israel would probably win again.

 

[valamhic]

Rubbish, if there was no damage, there would be no need for retaliation

There was attempted damage and there may be no retaliation.

 

[Wolf]

You are the most stupid person I've ever interacted with. The stupidest cunt possible. That's a feat.

This was Irans attempt to show dominance.You only get one chance at something major like this, a direct attack on a sworn enemy.

But here you are repeating the hilarious excuses from the "Russian World".

You're outclassed in every way. You are still struggling to fight and defeat the poorest country in Europe, after all.

Everyone can see a massive technology and competence gap has opened up.

LOL
Bot Broke.

 

[PlunkettsGhost]

Rubbish, if there was no damage, there would be no need for retaliation

Damage or no, Israel wants a regional war in order to initiate the dull scope of the Yinon plan. An attack on a sovereign embassy is an act of terror under the Rules bases Order. Israelis is desperate to start this next phase in her expansion, with the US doing most of the fighting of course.

 

[SeekTheFairLand]

There probably isn't much bigger within the conventional military capability of Iran, thats why if they have to do it again, and they have already said any new thing would be bigger again, then it must be nuclear.

Anyway what do you think, will Israel retaliate to this attack?

a similar limited strike. or an indirect strike in Lebanon or Iraq which the Iranians will then ignore.

 

[bormotello]

You are the most stupid person I've ever interacted with. The stupidest cunt possible. That's a feat.

This was Irans attempt to show dominance.You only get one chance at something major like this, a direct attack on a sworn enemy.

But here you are repeating the hilarious excuses from the "Russian World".

You're outclassed in every way. You are still struggling to fight and defeat the poorest country in Europe, after all.

Everyone can see a massive technology and competence gap has opened up.

I would advise you to always take haloperidol after consuming big portions of Western propaganda
First, for Israel the main target in Damascus was not Iran, but Biden who must avoid full-scale war in the Middle East because it will increase petrol prices just before the elections. Iran is not ready (yet) for such war, this is why a drone attack was a polite response similar to what it was for Soleimani assassination
Second, surprisingly Russia is one of the beneficiaries of this conflict because the US as the biggest owner of air defense systems cannot afford to give it to Ukraine.
Third, the technology gap is useless without a mighty economy backing it and capable of producing it in huge masses. Iran can produce cheap drones and missiles in masses, while Israel can not do the same SAMs and has to rely on the US. And US cannot afford to fight in Europe, the Middle East, and Taiwan simultaneously.
So China is another beneficiary of this conflict. Plus NATO now has to worry more about feeding millions of imported parasites from third world rather than spent money on weapons

 

[bormotello]

The problem is that we have become too powerful.

Last night was Irans big attempt to shift the dial.

Not really
Iran is more interested in continuing a proxy war with the USA and Israel rather than having full scale war against them
Last night's attack was mostly for internal consumption

 

[Kangal]

Last night's attack was mostly for internal consumption

Oh I get that.

But it was a failure.

 

[bormotello]

Oh I get that.

But it was a failure.

If all drones hit targets then it would be a pyrrhic victory for Iran because Biden won't be able to stop Netanyahu from retaliation
But now Iran can continue a proxy war with Israel, storage in bunkers emptied to take there more advanced drones, and Iranian hypersonic missiles managed to avoid interception and hit Negev airbase. Accuracy is still poor, but after the Chinese provide satellite photos to Iranian engineers they will be able to make necessary corrections to the guidance system

 

[Kangal]

If all drones hit targets then it would be a pyrrhic victory for Iran because Biden won't be able to stop Netanyahu from retaliation
But now Iran can continue a proxy war with Israel, storage in bunkers emptied to take there more advanced drones, and Iranian hypersonic missiles managed to avoid interception and hit Negev airbase. Accuracy is still poor, but after the Chinese provide satellite photos to Iranian engineers they will be able to make necessary corrections to the guidance system

It. Was. a. failure.

How many ballistic and cruise missiles do you have to lose?

 

[Wolf]

Irans overnight attack was a disaster.

7 hits from near 400 attempts.

The Israelis can launch 100 in return and cause 10 times the damage.

They have to. But Biden will try hold them back.

Spastic backing the Jew Nazis now after his Uki Nazis were humiliated....

 

[free and clean]

It. Was. a. failure.

How many ballistic and cruise missiles do you have to lose?

You said you weren't posting on this site anymore. It might be an idea to get a hobby, or at least something to distract you from spamming forums with tweets every day.

 

[Wolf]

It. Was. a. failure.

How many ballistic and cruise missiles do you have to lose?

Hope you didn't back anything in the national.....

 

[bormotello]

It. Was. a. failure.

How many ballistic and cruise missiles do you have to lose?

As I said this attack was a message to Israel that Iran has missiles that can penetrate through Patriots and Arrows

View: https://twitter.com/jacksonhinklle/status/1779312086444646792

Drones flying over Baghdad were for show purposes mostly

 

[bormotello]

It wasn't even Shaheds drones but some 15 years old crap

View: https://twitter.com/raviagrawal3/status/1779443923464904835

 

[bormotello]

Booster from Iranian hypersonic missile in dead sea

View: https://twitter.com/Sprinterfactory/status/1779487587813523837

 

[clarke-connolly]

Booster from Iranian hypersonic missile in dead sea

View: https://twitter.com/Sprinterfactory/status/1779487587813523837

Does it have a, Return Address ? !