Russia

clarke-connolly said:
So = = We can all relax about the Russians coming over the hill ! ! !

More Globalist Propaganda to Manipulate and Control ! ! !
Click to expand...
Im glad you can see past the Russian propaganda!

Yeah they are bust in terms of ground forces. They need the war to end so they can rebuild again.

However they still have a naval force and air force right now, strong enough to cause some pain. And every few months they work up another batch of cruise missiles.
 
Haven said:
Im glad you can see past the Russian propaganda!

Yeah they are bust in terms of ground forces. They need the war to end so they can rebuild again.

However they still have a naval force and air force right now, strong enough to cause some pain. And every few months they work up another batch of cruise missiles.
Click to expand...
Schrodinger's Russians ! !

Useful for One Type of Propaganda and simultaneously useful for another Type of Propaganda ! !
 
smallwarsjournal.com

Strategic Forecast: Russia Collapse Risk

Analysis of Russia’s potential collapse from war in Ukraine, highlighting economic, demographic, and security risks.
smallwarsjournal.com smallwarsjournal.com

"At the rate of conquest to date, Russia would need twelve more years to take the remaining 80% of Ukraine with intervening culminations of Russian troop formations likely slowing progress while being required to hold occupied areas lest an insurgency retake them. If it took three years for Russia to amass 1,000,000 casualties and 250,000 killed, the same loss rate over 12 more years suggests Russian casualties could swell to 5 million with 1,000,000 killed. Russia’s human capacity issues are already critical and moving toward a disaster scenario. Even if we cut the extrapolated losses by half, the Russian state and economy cannot afford 2.5 million more casualties with 500,000 more killed.

Hypothetically, even if Russia managed to conquer Ukraine, it would likely need to leave a garrison of between 13-20 Russian troops per 1,000 Ukrainians to hold Ukraine while incurring guerrilla warfare casualties and losses expected from a long Ukrainian insurgency. Ukrainians have been returning to Ukraine since 2023, with an estimated population of 39,134,615 as of this writing. 39,134,615 / 1000 = 39,134.615.

39,000 x 13 = 507,000 total Russian troops garrisoned to cover 13 troops per 1,000 Ukrainians at the low range, and 39,000 x 20 = 780,000 troops total Russian troops per 1,000 Ukrainians at the highest range, using Seth G. Jones CSIS estimates for successful occupation.

When, under these circumstances, would the GPF personnel vulnerability index score now showing critical risk to Russia’s human capacity to run the industrial and tax base go off the charts to reach breakdown-level?

Our estimate that Putin must be defeated in Ukraine by the Fall of 2026 to avert Russia’s collapse implies that if Putin’s war enters its fifth year in 2027, the personnel vulnerability scores in Russia will go from critical to breakdown. This, as two more years of warfare in Ukraine could mean 2/3 of roughly 1,000,000 more casualties, and 2/3 of some 250,000 more deaths at about 660,000 casualties and 166,666 deaths."
 
Haven said:
smallwarsjournal.com

Strategic Forecast: Russia Collapse Risk

Analysis of Russia’s potential collapse from war in Ukraine, highlighting economic, demographic, and security risks.
smallwarsjournal.com smallwarsjournal.com

"At the rate of conquest to date, Russia would need twelve more years to take the remaining 80% of Ukraine with intervening culminations of Russian troop formations likely slowing progress while being required to hold occupied areas lest an insurgency retake them. If it took three years for Russia to amass 1,000,000 casualties and 250,000 killed, the same loss rate over 12 more years suggests Russian casualties could swell to 5 million with 1,000,000 killed. Russia’s human capacity issues are already critical and moving toward a disaster scenario. Even if we cut the extrapolated losses by half, the Russian state and economy cannot afford 2.5 million more casualties with 500,000 more killed.

Hypothetically, even if Russia managed to conquer Ukraine, it would likely need to leave a garrison of between 13-20 Russian troops per 1,000 Ukrainians to hold Ukraine while incurring guerrilla warfare casualties and losses expected from a long Ukrainian insurgency. Ukrainians have been returning to Ukraine since 2023, with an estimated population of 39,134,615 as of this writing. 39,134,615 / 1000 = 39,134.615.

39,000 x 13 = 507,000 total Russian troops garrisoned to cover 13 troops per 1,000 Ukrainians at the low range, and 39,000 x 20 = 780,000 troops total Russian troops per 1,000 Ukrainians at the highest range, using Seth G. Jones CSIS estimates for successful occupation.

When, under these circumstances, would the GPF personnel vulnerability index score now showing critical risk to Russia’s human capacity to run the industrial and tax base go off the charts to reach breakdown-level?

Our estimate that Putin must be defeated in Ukraine by the Fall of 2026 to avert Russia’s collapse implies that if Putin’s war enters its fifth year in 2027, the personnel vulnerability scores in Russia will go from critical to breakdown. This, as two more years of warfare in Ukraine could mean 2/3 of roughly 1,000,000 more casualties, and 2/3 of some 250,000 more deaths at about 660,000 casualties and 166,666 deaths."
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your LA LA land .
Putin has no wish to occupy Nazi Ukraine --his articles of his office state he must DEFEND THE RUSSIAN PEOPLE or be deposed .
since the Nazi murdered 15,000 Russian Ukrainians he waited 9 years to build up his military and ammunition production before clearing them out of eastern Ukraine which is entirely Russian speaking and christian Russian Orthodox both language and religion have been banned by the Jewish elite of Ukraine without any comment from the UN on the declaration of human rights allowing freedom of religion and the use of your own language .
the people of Odessa saw the Nazi burn 72 Russian speaking trade unionists alive in their offices and the Nazi police who surrounded the building would not permit anyone to save them.
in order to end this war Putin must occupy the ethnic Russian speaking areas as otherwise western governments will continually attack them to cause civil war to destabilize Russia as they have done since 2014 following their coup which overthrow ed the democratic government using an admitted 5 billion bribe to the police and army .
where did Victoria nuland get the 5 billion who gave it to her -- nuland -blinken. zalenksy- and the oligarch which elected zalenksy are all JEWISH .
the oil and gas under Crimea are worth trillions -- the soil of eastern Ukraine is world famous as the finest and deepest finest soil on the planet -- all the valuable rare earth and mineral mines are all in eastern Ukraine .
this is what jewish blackrock paid zalenksy to sell to them and zalenksy has now sold one fifth of Ukraine to blackrock .
in economic terms the transfer of the trillions of wealth of eastern Ukraine will not diminish Russia as you try and make us believe .
and the ever cautious and professional Putin has insisted that all of these republics become independent and rule themselves --- they have not been taken over by Russia ---there is no need as they ARE CURRENTLY RUSSIAN CHRISTIAN ORTHODOX and Russia is their mother country and the only country to come to their aid when 15000 were butchered by the Nazi .
what would any sane Russian speaking person do in the city of Odessa founded by the Russian queen Catherine the great hundreds of years ago and Russian ever since and forever -- they would naturally see the Russian army as their liberators -which they are .
in the taking of Odessa it now removes the threat to Russian shipping which is carried out by the British special boat service from Odessa on Russian shipping .
the bank balance of Russia inc has climbed considerably by the trillions -- and that what this war is about truly -
it is a war between the Jewish blackrock and the Russians who are defending their people from the theft by Jewish blackrock who are able to purchase western governments including our own and their economies to wage war on their behalf .
 

"Kazakhstan has introduced new export rules that will remain in force for at least one year, aimed at restricting the re-export of dual-use goods to Russia and minimizing the risk of sanctions circumvention.

Under the new rules, a wide range of products now require mandatory export licenses, while goods imported from the European Union, the United States, and the United Kingdom are placed under enhanced monitoring and explicitly barred from being re-exported to Russia."
 
ru.themoscowtimes.com

«Терпение иссякло». Крупный бизнес заявил о наступлении сильнейшего с 1990-х кризиса в промышленности - Русская служба The Moscow Times

Усиление санкций, повышение процентных ставок по кредитам и резкое замедление экономики после военного бума — поставили российскую промышленность на грань сильнейшего кризиса.По словам топ-менеджеров крупнейших промышленных компаний, ситуация с продажами их продукции в этом году стала худшей с...
ru.themoscowtimes.com ru.themoscowtimes.com
 

As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine approaches its fourth year, Moscow’s military recruitment policies may be backfiring. The Kremlin has turned the far-flung, resource-rich regions of the Russian Federation into both its economic engine and its human reservoir. These areas keep the Russian budget afloat through oil and gas production, yet they’re also suffering the highest per-capita battlefield losses.

That imbalance now threatens the very industries that make Putin’s war possible.

Oil and gas don’t just prop up Russia’s economy; they bankroll the Kremlin’s war machine. In 2021, oil and gas rents made up nearly half of the federal budget and roughly 20 percent of the country’s GDP. These industries are overwhelmingly concentrated in Western Siberia, the Volga-Ural basin, and other resource-heavy peripheries, areas that have never received the kind of investment that Moscow showers on major cities. They bear the brunt of the burden in sustaining the Russian economy without reciprocal development.
 
Haven said:
Writing is on the wall.
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I don't understand what you're trying to say here. Isn't it good that a Country's leader is addressing such an important issue?

When did our scumbags ever mention our collapsing birthrate?

Oh yeah, they said we need to be replaced by migrants...
 
The real concern.


Russia faces growing dissatisfaction at home. Colossal human losses at the front, the ongoing, though hidden, mobilization of that part of the population which is still able to hold weapons, and rapidly growing inflation, including food products — all this is that detonator which may lead to a social explosion. But even such an outcome would not be the worst-case scenario. In separate republics of the Federation, separatism is ripening. This is especially evident in the Caucasus republics, as well as in Tatarstan and Bashkortostan, in Yakutia, in the Far East and in Siberia, while in a special position remains the Kaliningrad enclave.

For the United States and Europe, the perspective of the disintegration of Russia looks like a catastrophe: chaos, the threat of uncontrolled use of nuclear weapons, ecological risks for the whole world. But for China this scenario opens a “window of opportunities.” Specifically, there’s a chance at a long-awaited prize — the return of “historic territories,” which in Chinese historiography are interpreted as “lost heritage”: the Far East and Siberia. On Chinese official maps these territories are colored in the colors of Chinese territory. Access to the Arctic Ocean, for the sake of which Beijing actively builds an icebreaker fleet, becomes part of this strategy.
 
Remember this?

www.bbc.com

Putin in India: Russia ready to provide 'uninterrupted' fuel supplies

Deals have been signed in civil nuclear energy and critical minerals during the Russian PM's stay in India.
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com

Yeah :ROFLMAO:

oilprice.com

U.S. Sanctions Drive Russian Oil Shipments to India to Three-Year Lows | OilPrice.com

U.S. sanctions on Russia’s top oil producers have sharply reduced India’s Russian crude imports, forcing refiners to pivot toward alternative suppliers in the Middle East and the Americas.
oilprice.com oilprice.com
 
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