If Russia hadn't withdrawn from Kyiv, lost the west bank of Kherson and now losing the east, lost everything they had outside of Kharkiv, I'd agree. The mainstream view was that Ukraine had no chance in Feb 2022.
Now the horizon has shunk to a few square miles at Avdiivka.
I posted a article some time back how Western intelligence got Russia so badly wrong. There is even a view the Soviet army was really a paper tiger in retrospect. The West never had to spend the money it has to counter that threat. Never mind the RF.
Now we have the shills reduced to crowing they have contained an adversary that was way down the military power rankings in Feb 2022. They are inadvertently admitting its a battle of equals.
How did it come to this?
Nothing you write ever makes any sense. It's always a double-hedge, irresolveable. Ukraine is losing the war. The only argument one could make against this would be in a scenario in which Ukraine had recaptured more territory than it had lost. This has not happened. No, Ukraine has not reclaimed over 50% of the territory taken by Russia. This is semantics put out by Blinken. Russia had never annexed the territories he's referring to. He's referring to sorties that were pushed out the regions you're referring to earlier in the war.
For example, Russia has taken and Annexed Mariupol and Bakhmut, definitionally. What progress has the amazing AFU made to recapture these major cities? Absolutely none. They have instead sent 30K troops to defend Avdiivka--another major city, which they will also lose, and will be annexed, all the while conceding more ground elsewhere. Those 30k troops are the only reason it hasn't fallen already.
To do this, they've also blown through all their funding. 75B$. The US has spent 75B$ for Ukraine to lose.
That's the reality.