The Stock Market has entered the 4th and final phase of Jean Baudrillard's simulation. The fake markets have become more real than realty itself. A self referential, and cyclical self identifying success story that has lost all connection to the real world. The markets no longer need fundamentals or realty to set prices. The chart is the only thing that matters now.
Even before the war, I was easing up on on the silver play. I lost money the days after silver crashed, but nothing compared to what it might have been, I had had started shorting stock and easily absorbed the metals loss.
I had concluded that the evonomy was far far worse than realized and that was shown on Friday with the employment report . Selling short HD and LOW in particular and the AI related stock. Take Nvidia for example, market cap of 4.7 trillion dollars, needing a giant extra 47 billion dollars to rise 1%.
I have been right so far, and the war might be a disadvantage to me n fact. A steady deflation would suit me as a short seller to increase my short positions as the market goes down. Now of course, there could be a massive whiplash at any time.
But we could go into a deflationary collapse Monday and Tuesday if the war goes south.
But mark my words, I have been selling gold and buying silver. I have been buying small amounts of silver stocks. Having sold Puts on HL which went against me, a large number of HL shares have been assigned to meat a loss (at the moment ).
But the big play coming up if it can be timed right, is to buy far out of the money Calls on silver with a short duration, just one to two weeks, they will be very cheap and high risk.
It depends on silver rocketing, and I timing it right. Timing exactly is virtually impossible so I would do so in stages.